It appears our “experts” noses are getting longer like Pinocchio’s from telling fibs.
Professor David Karoly was recently on Lateline suggesting although we can’t attribute short-term weather patterns to climate change we’re playing with a loaded dice. Karoly is like the character Waldo in “Where’s Waldo” because of the frequency in which he shows up on the ABC pushing the alarmist line. There’s an alarmist push and Karoly is invariably interviewed. He’s about as camera shy as the porn star Jenna Jamison.
But it is clear that things can be done to slow down climate change, and we certainly know that climate change will bring higher frequencies of the extreme fire weather that was experienced on Saturday.
if you like, the mid-range estimate of climate change from the intergovernmental panel on climate change. They’re probably – some of those things are happening at the highest range or at the upper limit of what the climate models would project. And even for things like arctic sea ice are happening faster than even climate models would predict. So, yes, we are seeing many changes that are occurring faster than the IPCC climate models would’ve projected.
But what we’re seeing now is that the dice have been heavily loaded so that the chances of these sorts of extreme fire weather situations are occurring much more rapidly in the last 10 years due to climate change. So climate change has loaded the dice. And what we’re seeing is a much greater occurrence of this extreme fire weather. And certainly in some situations, we’re seeing unprecedented extremes. The hot temperatures on Saturday in Melbourne and in many parts in south eastern Australia were unprecedented. The records were broken by large amount and you cannot explain that just by natural variability. And climate change due to increasing greenhouse gases has been a major factor in increasing the temperatures and likely contributing to the drought in south eastern Australia.
It is certainly part of a global pattern, but Australia has been identified in a number of studies, including by Professor Garnaut’s climate change review of Australia, that Australia is in fact the developed country most at risk from the adverse impacts of climate change.
There’s whiff of misery somewhere that can be blamed on social ills? Clive Hamilton is never too far away blaming it on the consumer society or some rot. Sure enough Hives published a piece in ABC Unleashed more or less blaming climate change for the Victoria inferno.
There are good reasons for believing that the freakish weather conditions over southeastern Australia over the last fortnight have been due to climate change, rather than being a random event like the ones that led to the 1939 fires.
Hives also quotes Barry Brook.
Professor Barry Brook, Director of the Research Institute for Climate Change and Sustainability at the University of Adelaide and one the country’s leading climate scientists, quotes a colleague from the Bureau of Meteorology: “… climate change is now becoming such a strong contributor to these hitherto unimaginable events that the language starts to change from one of ‘climate change increased the chances of an event’ to ‘without climate change this event could not have occurred’”.
You’d think the Southern Australian climate has been heating up, right? Sounds like Southern Australia has been getting hotter. Listening just to Karoly and Hives that’s what you would have to think.
Take a look at this temp graph for South Australia going back since 1857. The place has actually been getting cooler since that time
How about the dead centre – Alice springs?Alice Springs has remained about the same since 1879
Canberra? About the same since 1939
Mildura since 1947? Basically no change.
Cape Otway Victoria? Cooler since 1865
Source… NASA Goddard and CRU
So there’s hard evidence that southern Australia’s temp has basically cooled and these people are telling us climate change is the cause of the Victorian inferno. It seems their opinions are nothing more than ghoulish propaganda meant to swing public opinion at the most vulnerable time.
What’s causing the dry spell in southern Australia? According to a former CISRO scientist (who has looked at the stats and decimated the propaganda pushed by the CSIRO) southern Australia seems to operate in 30 to 40 year wet/dry spells and aren’t out of the ordinary.
It’s really offensive being lied to like this.. When you have academics pushing stuff that isn’t true you really need to start again. Seriously people need to be fired if they’re deliberately deceiving the public. Tony Jones from Lateline ought to receive some really rough treamtment by ” Our ABC”, as he should have obtained a second opinion. There should be no remorse.
I actually think there is global warming and we shouldn’t be pushing all that crap into the atmosphere. I’m with Lomborg on this issue. However we just don’t need these people on our side.The sheer brazenness of pushing that line when there is absolutely not one single shred of evidence and in fact the evidence is quite the opposite ought to be punished severely. It’s no longer science as we used to know but some form of a Lysenko-hybrid type pseudo science meant to scare people.
These people are being paid with taxpayer money.
Niche Modeling rips apart the idea drought conditions caused the fire.